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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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economy in 2013. real gdp growth in the nine states in the first half of 2013 before below 2% accelerating to 2.6% in the fourth quarter. the committee believes that the combination of tax hikes, a prolonged fight or the debt ceiling, and the possibility of severe spending cuts in 2013 have the potential to really stop this recovery in its tracks. one thing you will notice from our forecast table is that the recession probabilities from the committee are higher than normal. we still have the probability of a recession at 23% and for 2014, 20%. that is a little bit higher than what we typically see. we think the private sector is poised for sustainable growth. i think the housing numbers point to one area of strength, the housing market. the tax hikes at the start of 2013 will create a drag on gdp of at least 1.25%. the potential for additional budget and spending cuts from sequestration could add to the downside risks. we think resolving the debt ceiling in a timely manner and providing more clarity o
economy in 2013. real gdp growth in the nine states in the first half of 2013 before below 2% accelerating to 2.6% in the fourth quarter. the committee believes that the combination of tax hikes, a prolonged fight or the debt ceiling, and the possibility of severe spending cuts in 2013 have the potential to really stop this recovery in its tracks. one thing you will notice from our forecast table is that the recession probabilities from the committee are higher than normal. we still have the...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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it will damage our economy. the government is a big part of this economy. it's interesting that a lot of time you have people recognize that when it comes to defense spending. some of the same people say we have to cut spending or complain that government jobs don't do anything, but when it comes to the defense contractor in their district, they think it is an important part of the economy in their district and that we should not stop spending on that. let's just make sure we're not spending on those other people. [no audio] my hope is that common sense prevails. that is always my preference. i think that would be the preference of the american people and it would be good for the economy. let me just repeat. if the issue is deficit reduction, getting our deficit sustainable over time, getting our debt in a sustainable place, then democrats and republicans in congress will have a partner in me. we could achieve that fairly quickly. we know what the numbers are and we know what needs to be done. we know what a balanced approach would take and we have done hal
it will damage our economy. the government is a big part of this economy. it's interesting that a lot of time you have people recognize that when it comes to defense spending. some of the same people say we have to cut spending or complain that government jobs don't do anything, but when it comes to the defense contractor in their district, they think it is an important part of the economy in their district and that we should not stop spending on that. let's just make sure we're not spending on...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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what it takes to sustain mobility, the economy, society. we can't ignore one by taking care of the other. there has to be a package deal. the simpson-bowles commission recognized it had to be part of the package. you have to demand that transportation be part of this overall solution that is put together and get into whether ideas have a better chance of enactment. but what our stance is, if you simply go to the republican caucus and say, let's raise taxes, they'll throw you out of the room. but if you go to them with a proposition, can we reduce the deficit of $150 billion? can we make the program pay its own way and can we sustain jobs and the solvency of the highway trust fund all in one, i think we'll have something to go on. again, thank you so much for the cary award. we value this and i appreciate the recognition and we want to commitment our -- continue our commitment to research and debate opportunity to share with you the thoughts on this idea. what you heard the secretary say is tony, jack and i are headed out the door. jack and
what it takes to sustain mobility, the economy, society. we can't ignore one by taking care of the other. there has to be a package deal. the simpson-bowles commission recognized it had to be part of the package. you have to demand that transportation be part of this overall solution that is put together and get into whether ideas have a better chance of enactment. but what our stance is, if you simply go to the republican caucus and say, let's raise taxes, they'll throw you out of the room....
132
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Jan 14, 2013
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if you shocked the global economy, the rest of the world disdains the united states for the actions it has taken. if you look at the other contending forces, the unexpected consequences of the gop tectonics' strategic shift that you will get -- geotectonic shift that you get will not be meet. it will not be in a defined box like when you have no real collision. it is a destructive global event and we need to be clear what those consequences are. i think you will hear that from him when he gets -- gives testimony in the senate. host: this is in "the new york times on the magazine's report of none of this works, the president will use military power against iran. i am sure of it. guest: i think he has had conversations we have not had with the president and he has that understanding. this is not a president who want to be remembered as having been an appeaser. i do think if it moved to that level, and i do not think we are there yet, the president will probably initiate force. host: there is this from one of our viewers saying that obama knows at least one of his nominees will have to go
if you shocked the global economy, the rest of the world disdains the united states for the actions it has taken. if you look at the other contending forces, the unexpected consequences of the gop tectonics' strategic shift that you will get -- geotectonic shift that you get will not be meet. it will not be in a defined box like when you have no real collision. it is a destructive global event and we need to be clear what those consequences are. i think you will hear that from him when he gets...